For detailed Oscar analysis, read our weekly column, Oscar Eye.
| ALREADY IN RELEASE |
| Row 0 - Cell 0 | FILM | DATE | SYNOPSIS | WIN POTENTIAL |
The Visitor
No one has mentioned Jenkins as a contender in a while, but the Best Actor field is still uncertain. It's possible for this vet to make it through after all.
Will probably be right next to Wall-E in the Best Animated Feature category, but it'll have to settle for bridesmaid there.
WALL-E
The Best Picture chances have probably ended, sadly. A screenplay nod is still possible to go with the inevitable Best Animated Feature win.
The Dark Knight
Looking increasingly likely as the fifth Best Picture nominee, but it's still vulnerable. Heath Ledger remains a lock, though, as do most technical awards..
Frozen River
Melissa Leo, the film's only hope, seems to be faltering in a crowded field. I wouldn't put much money on her at this point.
. shows up in nearly every Supporting Actor list, and seems increasingly likely to make it in for the big show. Wow. Score one more for summer movies with style.
Vicky Cristina Barcelona
The Best Musical or Comedy win at the Globes solidifies the chances of an Original Screenplay win, but Picture is not happening. Penelope Cruz is probably still the leader in her category.
Rachel Getting Married
didn't win the Globe, but she's still very much in the running for Best Actress. The rest of the film might have to just root for her.
Happy-Go-Lucky
Sally Hawkins' beautiful Globes speech may make her a stronger Best Actress contender, provided she makes the top five. The screenplay is also possible for a nod.
Changeling
Angelina made it into the SAG nominees, suggesting an Oscar upset is possible. Is there anything we can do to stop this?
I've Loved You So Long
Kristin Scott Thomas has been shut out by critics, and needs a champion fast to stay competitive. The Best Actress race is more volatile than ever now.
Slumdog Millionaire
The Globes sweep solidifies it: Nothing can beat Slumdog Millionaire right now.
Milk
With Josh Brolin gaining on Ledger in the supporting race and Sean Penn cleaning up statues right and left, it will likely be on top next to Slumdog through the nominations. The Golden Globe snub will not hurt it.
Frost/Nixon
No one seems to love it, but everyone respects it enough to include it in most awards. The lack overwhelming love may hurt it at the Oscars, though.
The Class
The nomination for Best Foreign Language seems guaranteed, but a win? Who knows.
Doubt
A huge win with the SAG Awards increases the chance of all four actors here getting nods, and it could sneak into Best Picture too.
The Reader
Winslet's win at the Globes makes her a much, much stronger contender in the supporting category, but the rest of the movie may not show up at all.
Gran Torino
Some people love the way Clint Eastwood growls his way through this movie; some people loathe it. But he's just universally beloved enough to sneak into that Best Actor race, damn him. The rest of the movie, though, forget it.
The Wrestler
Rourke is catching up on Penn thanks to the Globes win, and Tomei and Aronofsky remain competitive in their categories. And don't forget the Boss for Best Song!
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
It's the juggernaut that might threaten Slumdog, but the lack of strong acting contenders could hurt it. It's a lock for a nomination, though.
Revolutionary Road
Kate's Best Actress win at the Globes is likely a game changer in her category, but the film will still probably struggle elsewhere. It might be the best bet for a spoiler Best Picture nod, though.
Waltz With Bashir
A Best Foreign Language win at the Globes (a category it's not eligible for at the Oscars) might help its chances in Animation, but not enough to beat Wall-E.
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